by Calculated Risk on 12/03/2021 04:00:00 PM
AgoGoalPercent fully Vaccinated59.7%—>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated (millions)198.2—>=2321New Cases per Day3?96,42587,986<=5,0002Hospitalized3?48,61044,689<=3,0002Deaths per Day3?975893<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Goal met.
IMPORTANT: For “herd immunity” most experts believe we need 70% to 85% of the total population fully vaccinated (or already had COVID). Note: COVID will probably stay endemic (at least for some time).
The following 19 states have between 50% and 59.9% fully vaccinated: Wisconsin at 59.8%, Nebraska, Iowa, Utah, Michigan, Texas, Kansas, Arizona, Nevada, South Dakota, North Carolina, Alaska, Ohio, Kentucky, Montana, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Missouri and Indiana at 50.8%.
Next up (total population, fully vaccinated according to CDC) are Georgia at 49.8%, Tennessee at 49.7%, Arkansas at 49.6%, Louisiana at 49.0% and North Dakota at 49.0%.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of positive tests reported.