The Dow Jones Industrial Average headed for its fifth straight week of losses on Friday, despite solid gains on the day, as investors remain cautious amid the war between Russia and Ukraine.
“The S&P 500’s -12% decline from its peak suggests much of the froth has been taken out,” said Savita Subramanian, equity and quant strategist at Bank of America Securities. “Stocks are largely pricing in the geopolitical shock, where the S&P 500 fell 9% from peak-to-trough since Russia-Ukraine headlines in early Feb, similar to a typical 7-8% fall in prior macro/geopolitical events.”
The Dow is headed for its fifth straight week of losses as the Russia-Ukraine war continues to be an overhang on financial markets. The S&P and Nasdaq are heading for their second straight week of losses.
Week to date, the Dow is down about 0.9%. Meanwhile, the S&P is down roughly 1.5%, and the Nasdaq is off by 1.6% this week.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said Friday “certain positive shifts” have occurred in the talks between the Kremlin and Ukraine. Meanwhile, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy reportedly said Ukraine has reached a “strategic turning point” in its war with Russia.
“Potentially good news from favorable comments regarding cease fire negotiations from Putin but investors are unsure how much weight to put on this given some of his previous comments which turned out to be hollow,” said Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist for the Leuthold Group.
U.S. President Joe Biden expected to call for an end to Russia’s status as a preferred trade partner, while Congress passed a funding bill that includes $14 billion of Ukraine aid.
The moves came amid another day of higher energy prices. West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, rose 1.4% to $107.46 while international standard Brent crude moved 1.6% higher to $111.04. To be sure, crude prices are well off the highs seen earlier in the week.
Metals prices except for copper fell sharply, meanwhile. Palladium futures tumbled 4% to $2,803.50 an ounce. Agricultural commodity prices turned mixed and bond yields were mostly higher, though only slightly.
On the data front, the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index sunk to 59.7 in March, down from 62.8 in February, according to the report released on Friday. This marks the weakest print since September 2011.
“News that consumer confidence sunk even lower this morning as household fears about inflation intensify have ramped up worries about a serious U.S. economic slowdown or perhaps even a recession,” added Paulsen.
Certain tech names dragged on the Nasdaq on Friday and continued their weakness since Monday. Zoom Video fell 3%, bringing its weekly losses to more than 7%. Meta Platforms fell 2.5% and is down more than 5% since Monday.